China emission accounts are primarily built upon novel, robust, interdisciplinary and highly impacted academic research. CEADs team publishes in the field of energy and emission inventory compilation, emission sources and drivers, environmental input-output analysis and policy analysis.

Inventory Compilation

Liu Z., D. Guan*, W. Wei, S. J. Davis, P. Ciais, J. Bai, S. Peng, Q. Zhang, K. Hubacek, G. Marland, R. J. Andres, D. Crawford-Brown, J. Lin, H. Zhao, C. Hong, T. A. Boden, K. Feng, G. P. Peters, F. Xi, J. Liu, Y. Li, Y. Zhao, N. Zeng and K. He (2015) “Reduced carbon emission estimates from fossil fuel combustion and cement production in ChinaNature [IF: 41.456], Volume 524, Page 335-338 (doi: 10.1038/nature14677)

Zhao H. Y., Q. Zhang, D. Guan, S. J. Davis, Z. Liu, H. Huo, J. Lin, W. Liu and K. He (2015) “Assessment of China’s virtual air pollution transport embodied in trade by a consumption-based emission inventoryAtmospheric Physics and Chemistry [IF:5.053] Volume 15, page 5443-5456 (doi:10.5194/acpd-14-25617-2014)

Shan, Y., Z. Liu and D. Guan (2015) “CO2 Emissions from China’s Lime IndustryApplied Energy [IF:5.613]  forthcoming (doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.04.091)

Liu, Z., K. Feng, K. Hubacek, S. Liang, L. Diaz Anadon, C. Zhang, and D. Guan (2015) “Four system boundaries for carbon accountsEcological Modelling [IF:2.321] forthcoming (doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.02.001)

Lindner, S., L. Zhu, D. Guan, G. Yong, and X. Li (2013) “CO2 Emissions from China’s Power Sector at the province level: Consumption versus Production PerspectivesRenewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews [IF:5.901] Volume 19, Page 164-172 (doi:

Guan D., Z. Liu, Y. Geng, S. Lindner and K. Hubacek (2012) “The gigatonne gap in China’s carbon dioxide inventoriesNature Climate Change [IF:14.547], Volume 2, Page 672–675 (doi:10.1038/nclimate1560).

Liu Z., Y. Geng S. Lindner, H. Zho, T. Fujita and D. Guan (2012) “Embodied Energy Use in China’s Industrial SectorsEnergy Policy [IF:2.575] Volume 49, Page 751-758 (

Liu, Z., Y. Geng, S. Lindner, and D. Guan (2012) “Uncovering China’s greenhouse gas emission from regional and sectoral perspectivesEnergy [IF:4.844] Volume 49, Issue 1, Page 1059-1068 (doi: 10.1016/

Emission Sources and Drivers

Zheng, B., Q. Zhang, J. Borken-Kleefeld, H. Huo, D. Guan, Z. Klimont, G. P. Peters, and K. He (2015) “How will greenhouse gas emissions from motor vehicles be constrained in China around 2030Applied Energy [IF:5.613] Volume 156, Page 230-240 (doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.07.018).

Huo, H., Q. Zhang, D. Guan, X. Su, K. He (2014) “Examining air pollution in China using production- and consumption-based emissions accounting approachesEnvironmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330] Volume 48, Issue 24, Page 14139–14147 (doi: 10.1021/es503959t).

Guan, D., X. Su, Q. Zhang, G. P. Peters, Z. Liu, Y. Lei and K. He (2014) “The Socioeconomic drivers of China’s primary PM2.5 emissionsEnvironmental Research Letters [IF: 3.906], Volume 9, 024010 (doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/2/024010)

Chong W.H.B., D. Guan* and P. Guthrie (2012) “Comparative Analysis of Carbonization Drivers in China’s Mega-CitiesJournal of Industrial Ecology [IF:3.227] Volume 16, Issue 4, Page 564-575 (doi: 10.1111/j.1530-9290.2012.00519.x)

Feng K., K. Hubacek, Y. Siu, and D. Guan (2012) “’Analyzing Drivers of Regional Carbon Dioxide Emissions for ChinaJournal of Industrial Ecology [IF:3.227] Volume 16, Issue 4, Page 600-611 (doi: 10.1111/j.1530-9290.2012.00494.x)

Guan D. and T. S. Barker (2012) “Low Carbon Development in the least developed region: A case study of Guangyuan, Sichuan province, southwest ChinaNatural Hazards [IF: 1.719], Volume 62, Issue 2, Page 243-254 (doi: 10.1007/s11069-011-9993-3)

Skelton A., D. Guan*, G. P. Peters and D. Crawford-Brown (2011) “Mapping flows of embodied emissions in the global production systemEnvironmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330] Volume 45, Issue 24, Page 10516-10523 (doi: 10.1021/es202313e)

Minx J. C., G. Baiocchi, G. P. Peters, C. L. Weber, D. Guan and K. Hubacek (2011). “A Carbonizing Dragon: China’s fast growing CO2 emissions revisited“. Environmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330] Volume 45, Issue 21, Page 9144–9153 (doi: 10.1021/es201497m)

Guan D*., G. Peters, C. Weber, and K. Hubacek (2009) “Journey to world top emitter – an analysis of the driving forces of China’s recent emissions surge”. Geophysical Research Letters [IF: 4.196] Volume 36, L04709 (doi: 10.1029/2008GL036540).

Feng K., K. Hubacek and D. Guan (2009) “Lifestyles, technology and CO2 emissions in China: a regional comparative analysisEcological Economics [IF: 2.720], Volume 69, Page 145-154 (doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.08.007)

Guan D., K. Hubacek, C. Weber, G. Peters and D. Reiner (2008) “The drivers of Chinese CO2 emissions from 1980 to 2030Global Environmental Changes [IF: 5.089] Volume 18, Issue 4, Page 626-634 (doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.08.001)

Weber C., G. Peters, D. Guan and K. Hubacek (2008) “The contribution of Chinese exports to climate changeEnergy Policy [IF: 2.575], Volume 36, Page 3572-3577 (doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2008.06.009)

Peters G., C. Weber, D. Guan and K. Hubacek (2007) “China’s growing CO2 emissions – A race between lifestyle changes and efficiency gainsEnvironmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330] Volume 41, Issue 17, Page 5939-5944. (doi: 10.1021/es070108f S0013-936X(07)00108-3).

Environmental Extended Input-output Analysis

Liu, Z., S.J. Davis, K. Feng, K. Hubacek, S. Liang, L. D. Anadon, B. Chen, J. Liu, J. Yan and D. Guan (2015) “Targeted opportunities to address the climate-trade dilemma in ChinaNature Climate Change [IF:14.547], forthcoming (doi:10.1038/nclimate2800).

Jiang X, D. Guan, J. Zhang, K. Zhu, C. Green (2015). Firm ownership, China’s export related emissions, and the responsibility issue. Energy Economics [IF: 2.708] Volume 51, Page 466-74 (doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.08.014)

Liu J., D. Zhao, P.W. Gerbens-Leenes, D. Guan. (2015) “China’s rising hydropower demand challenges water sector”. Scientific Reports. [IF:5.053] Volume 5, Article number: 11446 (doi:10.1038/srep11446).

Zhao, X., J. Liu, Q. Liu, M. R. Tillotson, D. Guan, K. Hubacek (2015) “Physical and virtual water transfers for regional water stress alleviation in ChinaProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) [IF: 9.674], Volume 112, Issue 4, Page 1031-1035 (doi:10.1073/pnas.1404130112)

Jiang X., Q. Zhang, H. Zhao, G. Geng, L. Peng, D. Guan, H. Kan, H. Huo, J. Lin, M. Brauer, R. V. Martin, K. He (2015) “Revealing the hidden health costs embodied in Chinese exportsEnvironmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330] Volume 49, Issue 7, Page 4381–4388 (doi: 10.1021/es506121s)

Jiang, X., Q. Chen, D. Guan*, K. Zhu and C. Yang (2015) “Revisiting the global net CO2 emissions transfers: the impact of the heterogeneity-of-trade modeJournal of Industrial Ecology [IF:3.227] forthcoming

Liu, W., X. Li, H. Liu, Z. Tang, and D. Guan (2015) “Estimating inter-regional trade flows in China: A sector-specific statistical modelJournal of Geographical Sciences [IF: 1.344] Volume 25, Issue 10, Page 1247-1263 (doi: 10.1007/s11442-015-1231-6)

Meng, J., Liu, J., Xu, Y., Tao, S., (2015). “Tracing Primary PM2.5 emissions via Chinese supply chains“. Environmental Research Letters [IF: 3.906],Volume 10, 054005.(doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054005)

Meng, J., Liu, J., Guo, S., Huang, Y., Tao, S., (2015). The impact of domestic and foreign trade on energy-related PM emissions in Beijing. Applied Energy [IF:5.613]. In Press (doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.09.082).

Lindner, S. and D. Guan (2014) “A hybrid-unit energy input-output model to evaluate embodied energy and life cycle emissions for China’s EconomyJournal of Industrial Ecology [IF:3.227] Volume 18, Issue 2, Page 201-211 (doi: 10.1111/jiec.12119)

Guan D., K. Hubacek; H. Zhao, W. Liu; Z. Liu; S. Liang, M. Tillotson (2014) “Lifting China’s Water SpellEnvironmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330] Volume 48, Issue 19, Page 11048–11056 (doi: 10.1021/es501379n)

Lin J., D. Pan, S. J. Davis, Q. Zhang, K. He, C. Wang, D. Streets, D. J. Wuebbles and D. Guan (2014) “China’s international trade and air pollution in the United StatesProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) [IF: 9.674], Volume 111, Issue 5, Page 1736-1741 (doi:10.1073/pnas.1312860111) The paper has received extensive international attentions and been reported by mainstream media such as Wall Street Journals, CNN, Guardians and Washington Post (see section on “In the press”). The paper was awarded for the PNAS Cozzarelli Prize 2014.

Dietzenbacher, E., M. Lenzen, B. Los, D. Guan, M. L. Lahr, F. Sanchoe, S. Suh and C. Yang (2013) “Input-Output Analysis: The Next 25 YearsEconomic Systems Research [IF: 3.605] Volume 25, Issue 4, Page 369-389 (doi:10.1080/09535314.2013.846902)

Jacques, D. A., D. Guan, Y. Geng, B. Xue, and X. Wang (2013) “Inter-provincial clean development mechanism in China: A case study of the solar PV sectorEnergy Policy [IF:2.575] Volume 57, Page 454-461 (doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.02.019)

Lindner, S., J. Legault and D. Guan* (2013) “Disaggregating the electricity sector of china’s input-output table for improved environmental life-cycle assessmentEconomic Systems Research [IF: 3.605]. Volume 25, Issue 3, Page 300-320 (doi: 10.1080/09535314.2012.746646). This paper has been award the Leontief Prize 2012 by International Input-Output Association.

Li J., D. Crawford-Brown, M. Syddall and D. Guan (2013) “Modelling Imbalanced Economic Recovery Following a Natural Disaster Using Input-Output AnalysisRisk Analysis [IF: 1.974], Volume 33, Issue 10, Page 1908–1923 (doi: 10.1111/risa.12040)

Crawford-Brown D., M. Syddall1, D. Guan, J. Hall, J. Li, K. Jenkins and R. Beaven (2013) “Vulnerability of London’s Economy to Climate Change: Sensitivity to Production LossJournal of Environmental Protection, Volume 4, Page 548-563 (doi: 10.4236/jep.2013.46064)

Meng B., J. Xue, K. Feng, D. Guan and X. Fu (2013) “China’s inter-regional spillover of carbon emissions and domestic supply chainsEnergy Policy [IF:2.575] Volume 61, Page 1305-1321  (doi: j.enpol.2013.05.108)

Feng K., K. Hubacek, Y. Siu, and D. Guan (2012) “Assessing Regional Virtual Water Flows and Water Footprints in the Yellow River Basin, China: a consumption based approach”. Applied Geography [IF: 2.494], Volume 32, Issue 2, Page 691-701 (doi:10.1016/j.apgeog.2011.08.004)

Lindner, S., J. Legault and D. Guan* (2012) “Disaggregating input-output models with incomplete informationEconomic Systems Research [IF: 3.605] Volume 24, Issue 4, Page 329-347 (doi:10.1080/09535314.2012. 689954)

Feng, K., K. Hubacek, Y. L. Siu, J. Minx, A. Chapagain, Y. Yu, D. Guan and J. Barrett (2011) “Spatially Explicit Analysis of Water Footprints in the UKWater [IF:1.428], Volume 3, Page 47-63 (doi:10.3390/w3010047)

Yu, Y., Hubacek, K. Feng and D. Guan (2010) “Assessing Regional and Global Water Footprints for the UKEcological Economics [IF: 2.720], Volume 69, Page 1140-1147 (doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.12.008)

Wiedmann. T., R. Wood, J. Minx, M. Lenzen, D. Guan and R. Harris (2010) “A Climate Footprint Time Series of the UK – Results from a Multi-Region Input-Output ModelEconomic Systems Research [IF: 3.605] Volume 22, Issue 1 Page 19-42 (doi: 10.1080/09535311003612591)

Minx. J., T. Wiedmann, R. Wood, G. Peter, M. Lenzen, A. Owen, K. Scott, J. Barrett, K. Hubacek, G. Baiocchi, A. Paul, E. Dawkins, J. Briggs, D. Guan, S. Suh and F. Ackermann (2009) “Input-Output Analysis and Carbon Footprinting: An overview of applicationsEconomic Systems Research [IF: 3.605] Volume 21, Issue 3, Page 187-216 (doi: 10.1080/09535310903541298)

Hubacek K., D. Guan, J. Barrett and T. Wiedmann (2009) “Environmental implications of urbanisation and lifestyle change in China: Ecological and Water FootprintsJournal of Cleaner Production [IF: 3.844] Volume 17, Issue 14, Page 1241-1248 (doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2009.03.011).

Guan D. and K. Hubacek (2008) “A new integrated hydro-economic accounting and analytical framework for water resource consumption: A case study for North ChinaJournal of Environmental Management [IF: 2.723], Volume 88, Issue 4, Page 1300-1313 (doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2007.07.010). This paper was awarded the runner up of the Leontief Prize 2007 by International Input-Output Association.

Guan D. and K. Hubacek (2007) “Assessment of regional trade and virtual water flows in ChinaEcological Economics [IF:2.720], Volume 61, Issue 1, Page 159-170 (doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.02.022)

Policy Analysis

Liu, Z., D. Guan, S. Moore, H. Lee, J. Su and Q. Zhang (2015) “Steps to China’s carbon peakNature [IF: 41.456], Volume 522, Page 279-281 (doi:10.1038/522279a)

Orlins S. and D. Guan* (2015) “China’s toxic informal e-waste recycling: local approaches to a global environmental problemJournal of Cleaner Production [IF: 3.844] forthcoming (doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.05.090)

Guan, D., S. Klasen, K. Hubacek, K. Feng, Z. Liu, K. He, Y. Geng and Q. Zhang (2014) “Determinants of Stagnating Carbon Intensity in ChinaNature Climate Change [IF:14.547] Volume 4, Issue 11, Page 1017–1023  (doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2388)

Liu Z., D. Guan, D. Crawford-Brown, Q. Zhang, K. He and J. Liu (2013) “Energy Policy: A low-carbon roadmap for ChinaNature [IF: 41.456], Volume 500, Page 143 – 145 (doi:10.1038/500143a).

Feng K., S. J. Davis, X. Li, , L. Sun, D. Guan W. Liu, L. Zhu and K. Hubacek (2013) “Outsourcing CO2 within ChinaProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) [IF: 9.674] Volume 110, Issue 28, Page 11654–11659 (doi: 10.1073/pnas.1219918110)

Jiang Y., F. K. S. Chan, J. Holden, Y. Zhao and D. Guan (2013) “China’s water management – challenges and solutionsEnvironmental Engineering and Management Journal [IF: 1.258]. Volume 12, Issue 7, Page 1311-1321

Chen Q., C. Kang, Q. Xia, D. Guan (2011) “Preliminary Exploration on Low-Carbon Technology Roadmap of China’s Power Sector”. Energy [IF:4.844] Volume 36, Issue 3, Page 1500-12 (doi:10.1016/

Feng, K., K. Hubacek, D. Guan, M. Contestabile, J. Minx and J. Barrett (2010) “Distributional Effects of Climate Change Taxation: The case of the UKEnvironmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330], Volume 44, Issue 10, Page 3670-3676 (doi: 10.1021/es902974g)